论文标题

理解当前的Covid 19情况,并通过建模和仿真案例研究提出量身定制的释放策略:卡萨布兰卡,摩洛哥

Making Sense of the Current Covid 19 Situation and Suggesting a tailored Release Strategy through Modeling And Simulation Case Study: Casablanca, Morocco

论文作者

Chadi, Mohamed Amine, Mousannif, Hajar

论文摘要

自从宣布Covid 19作为全球大流行的第一天以来,来自不同背景和组织(包括国家政府和世界卫生组织(WHO))的研究人员已广泛开始使用建模和模拟(M&S)技术来确定最佳策略,以减轻公共卫生和经济影响COVID-19的效果。在本文中,我们介绍了在摩洛哥卡萨布兰卡市应用M&S的结果,以理解(i):对于这种大流行而言,渗透到研究的地区(乡村,城市,地区等)中,这种大流行如何相对容易或困难。 (ii):如何在该区域内传播相对快速或放慢速度。最后(iii):包含和减轻疾病传播的最佳策略是什么,同时仍然使经济尽可能接近正常。

Since the very first days of announcing Covid 19 as a global pandemic, researchers around the world from different backgrounds and organizations including national governments and the World Health Organization (WHO) have extensively begun using Modeling and Simulation (M&S) techniques in deciding on the optimal strategies in order to mitigate the public health and economical effects of Covid-19. In this paper, we present our results from applying M&S on the city of Casablanca, Morocco to comprehend (i): How it can be relatively easy or difficult for such pandemic to penetrate to the studied region (country, city, district, etc.). (ii): How it can spread relatively fast or slow within that region. And finally (iii): What is the optimal strategy for containing and mitigating the propagation of the disease while still keeping the economy as near to normal as possible.

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