论文标题
COVID-19疾病的随机流行模型
A stochastic epidemic model of COVID-19 disease
论文作者
论文摘要
为了模拟具有延长潜伏期的疾病的演变和无症状患者（如Covid-19）的存在，我们定义了一个简单的离散时间随机sir型流行模型。我们包括潜在时期和隔离区域的存在，以捕获此类疾病的进化动态。
To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the presence of quarantine areas, to capture the evolutionary dynamics of such diseases.
