论文标题

决策与疾病:合作发展的机制

Decisions and disease: a mechanism for the evolution of cooperation

论文作者

Rowlett, Julie, Karlsson, Carl-Joar

论文摘要

在许多情况下,个人可以决定是否采取行动来减轻疾病的传播。减轻疾病的传播要求个人改变其常规行为以使他人受益,从而带来与开创性囚犯的困境相似的“疾病困境”。在古典囚犯的困境中,进化游戏的动态预测,所有个人都会发展为“缺陷”。我们发现,当人口内的合作率与疾病的传播率直接相关时,在某些条件下的合作就会发展。对于不赋予恢复个体免疫力的疾病,如果个人收到信息的时间尺度与疾病传播的时间尺度相比足够快,则出现合作。此外,随着缓解措施越来越有效的极限,该疾病可以控制,感染率往往为零。我们的模型基于理论数学,因此不受任何单个上下文的影响。例如,这里考虑的疾病扩散模型也可以用来描述社会和群体动态。从这个意义上讲,我们可能已经发现了一种基本和新颖的机制,可以从广义上讲合作的演变。

In numerous contexts, individuals may decide whether they take actions to mitigate the spread of disease, or not. Mitigating the spread of disease requires an individual to change their routine behaviours to benefit others, resulting in a 'disease dilemma' similar to the seminal prisoner's dilemma. In the classical prisoner's dilemma, evolutionary game dynamics predict that all individuals evolve to 'defect.' We have discovered that when the rate of cooperation within a population is directly linked to the rate of spread of the disease, cooperation evolves under certain conditions. For diseases which do not confer immunity to recovered individuals, if the time scale at which individuals receive information is sufficiently rapid compared to the time scale at which the disease spreads, then cooperation emerges. Moreover, in the limit as mitigation measures become increasingly effective, the disease can be controlled, and the rate of infections tends to zero. Our model is based on theoretical mathematics and therefore unconstrained to any single context. For example, the disease spreading model considered here could also be used to describe social and group dynamics. In this sense, we may have discovered a fundamental and novel mechanism for the evolution of cooperation in a broad sense.

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