论文标题

用于建模宏观能源的基于图的配方

A graph-based formulation for modeling macro-energy systems

论文作者

Göke, Leonard

论文摘要

避免气候变化的即将发生的危害需要用可再生能源作为主要能源来代替化石燃料。非电气可再生能源的潜力受到限制,这意味着通过直接电气或合成燃料将风和太阳能产生的电力扩展到电力部门之外。建模向这种能量系统的转换是具有挑战性的,因为它强制考虑风和太阳能的波动以及需求方可以适应这些波动的多种方式。 本文介绍了一种基于图的方法,以制定能源系统模型来应对这些挑战。通过在根树上组织集合,可以启用两个功能,以促进可再生能源和行业集成的高份额建模。首先,该方法允许时间和空间细节的水平通过能量载体变化。这使建模具有高度的细节和较大的范围,同时可以使模型可进行计算。其次,可以对能源载体进行转换,存储,运输或消耗时可以替代的程度,以实现对部门整合的详细但灵活的表示。该公式的应用表明,时间细节的变化达到了70 \%的平均计算时间减少。

Averting the impending harms of climate change requires to replace fossil fuels with renewables as a primary source of energy. Non-electric renewable potential being limited, this implies extending the use of electricity generated from wind and solar beyond the power sector, either by direct electrification or synthetic fuels. Modeling the transformation towards such an energy system is challenging, because it imposes to consider fluctuations of wind and solar and the manifold ways the demand side could adjust to these fluctuations. This paper introduces a graph-based method to formulate energy system models to address these challenges. By organizing sets in rooted trees, two features to facilitate modeling high shares of renewables and sector integration are enabled. First, the method allows the level of temporal and spatial detail to be varied by energy carrier. This enables modeling with a high level of detail and a large scope, while keeping models computationally tractable. Second, the degree to which energy carriers are substitutable when converted, stored, transported, or consumed can be modeled to achieve a detailed but flexible representation of sector integration. An application of the formulation demonstrates that the variation of temporal detail achieves an average reduction in computation time of 70\%.

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