论文标题

在移动,联系社区中疾病传播的预测建模

Predictive modelling of disease propagation in a mobile, connected community

论文作者

Tiwari, Ishant, Sarin, Pradeep, Parmananda, Punit

论文摘要

我们介绍了从随机,高度连接和移动社区的建模获得的数值结果。诸如健康之类的属性,社区成员之间的疾病的传播是在平面2维界空间上模拟的。对于很少的假设,我们能够预测这种疾病的传播的未来过程,以及与自动机之间相互作用相关的参数的微调。

We present numerical results obtained from the modelling of a stochastic, highly connected and mobile community. The spread of attributes like health, disease among the community members is simulated using cellular automata on a planar 2 dimensional bounded space. With remarkably few assumptions, we are able to predict the future course of propagation of such disease as a function of time and the fine-tuning of parameters related to the interaction among the automata.

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