论文标题
使用辅助变量对自适应群集采样的稀有和聚类种群的基于模型的推断
Model-based Inference for Rare and Clustered Populations from Adaptive Cluster Sampling using Auxiliary Variables
论文作者
论文摘要
罕见的人群,例如濒临灭绝的动物和植物,吸毒者和罕见疾病的人,往往会聚集在地区。通常应用自适应群集抽样以从聚类和稀疏人群中获取信息,因为它增加了观察到感兴趣的人的调查工作。这项工作旨在提出一个单位级模型,该模型假设计数与辅助变量有关,改善了采样过程,除了在空间上向细胞分配了不同的权重。提出的模型与贝叶斯框架中的常规网格上处置了稀有和分组的种群。将该方法与使用模拟数据和一个实际实验进行了比较,其中从东非24,108平方公里地区的非洲水牛口中汲取了自适应样品。模拟研究表明,该模型在几种设置下是有效的,验证了本文在实际情况下提出的方法。
Rare populations, such as endangered animals and plants, drug users and individuals with rare diseases, tend to cluster in regions. Adaptive cluster sampling is generally applied to obtain information from clustered and sparse populations since it increases survey effort in areas where the individuals of interest are observed. This work aims to propose a unit-level model which assumes that counts are related to auxiliary variables, improving the sampling process, assigning different weights to the cells, besides referring them spatially. The proposed model fits rare and grouped populations, disposed over a regular grid, in a Bayesian framework. The approach is compared to alternative methods using simulated data and a real experiment in which adaptive samples were drawn from an African Buffaloes population in a 24,108 square kilometers area of East Africa. Simulation studies show that the model is efficient under several settings, validating the methodology proposed in this paper for practical situations.