论文标题
管理水生入侵:船只检查站的最佳位置和运营时间
Managing aquatic invasions: optimal locations and operating times for watercraft inspection stations
论文作者
论文摘要
水生入侵物种(AIS)在世界范围内造成重大的生态和经济损害。 AIS的主要扩散机制是划船者从入侵到未接触的水体中运输船只的交通。为了抑制AIS的传播,几个加拿大省和美国各州在路边建立了船只检查站,在那里筛选了AIS的潜在出没的船只,并在必要时进行了污染。但是,由于AIS控制的预算是有限的,因此船只检查站只能在特定的位置和日期进行操作。尽管理论研究为管理人员提供了有关AIS管理的一般指南,但仍需要更具体的结果来确定何时何时何地进行船只检查最有效。这是本文的主题。我们展示了如何使用线性整数编程技术在预算限制下优化船只检查政策。我们将方法介绍为一般框架,并将其应用于预防斑马和Quagga贻贝(Dreissena spp。)的传播到加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省。我们考虑各种场景,并展示预算限制,繁殖源和模型不确定性的变化如何影响最佳政策。基于这些结果,我们确定了最佳AIS管理的简单,通常适用的原则。
Aquatic invasive species (AIS) cause significant ecological and economic damages around the world. A major spread mechanism for AIS is traffic of boaters transporting their watercraft from invaded to uninvaded waterbodies. To inhibit the spread of AIS, several Canadian provinces and American states set up watercraft inspection stations at roadsides, where potentially infested boats are screened for AIS and, if necessary, decontaminated. However, since budgets for AIS control are limited, watercraft inspection stations can only be operated at specific locations and daytimes. Though theoretical studies provide managers with general guidelines for AIS management, more specific results are needed to determine when and where watercraft inspections would be most effective. This is the subject of this paper. We show how linear integer programming techniques can be used to optimize watercraft inspection policies under budget constraints. We introduce our approach as a general framework and apply it to the prevention of the spread of zebra and quagga mussels (Dreissena spp.) to the Canadian province British Columbia. We consider a variety of scenarios and show how variations in budget constraints, propagule sources, and model uncertainty affect the optimal policy. Based on these results, we identify simple, generally applicable principles for optimal AIS management.