论文标题

基于代理的多维意见动态和意见一致性的模型

An agent-based model of multi-dimensional opinion dynamics and opinion alignment

论文作者

Schweighofer, Simon, Garcia, David, Schweitzer, Frank

论文摘要

众所周知,对不同政策问题的个人意见通常与主导的意识形态维度(例如“左”与“右”)保持一致,并变得越来越两极化。我们提供了一个基于代理的模型,该模型将这两个风格化的事实重现为在连续意见的多维空间中意见动力学的新兴属性。在这个多维空间中,代理人观点改变的机制源自认知失调理论和结构平衡理论。我们从接近性投票和有关重现预期新兴属性的能力的方向投票中测试假设。我们进一步研究了代理人的情感参与,即他们对改变意见的个人抵制会影响动态。我们确定了全球和个人意见一致性的两个制度。如果情感参与度很高,并且显示出各种代理人的差异,则可以促进显性意识形态维度的出现。代理商沿着相反的方向使他们的观点保持一致,即创建两极分化状态。

It is known that individual opinions on different policy issues often align to a dominant ideological dimension (e.g. "left" vs. "right") and become increasingly polarized. We provide an agent-based model that reproduces these two stylized facts as emergent properties of an opinion dynamics in a multi-dimensional space of continuous opinions. The mechanisms for the change of agents' opinions in this multi-dimensional space are derived from cognitive dissonance theory and structural balance theory. We test assumptions from proximity voting and from directional voting regarding their ability to reproduce the expected emerging properties. We further study how the emotional involvement of agents, i.e. their individual resistance to change opinions, impacts the dynamics. We identify two regimes for the global and the individual alignment of opinions. If the affective involvement is high and shows a large variance across agents, this fosters the emergence of a dominant ideological dimension. Agents align their opinions along this dimension in opposite directions, i.e. create a state of polarization.

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