论文标题
贝塞尔回归模型:分析有限数据的鲁棒性
Bessel regression model: Robustness to analyze bounded data
论文作者
论文摘要
统计学家和从业人员已广泛使用Beta回归来对有限的连续数据进行建模,并且没有强大而相似的竞争者具有其主要特征。文献中引入了一类归一化的反高斯(N-Ig)过程,在贝叶斯语境中探讨了Dirichlet过程的有力替代方案。直到这一刻,尚未关注古典推论中的单变量N-Ig分布。在本文中,我们提出了基于单变量N-Ig分布的Bessel回归,这是Beta模型的强大替代方法。通过模拟和实际数据应用程序来说明这种鲁棒性。参数的估计是通过预期最大化算法完成的,论文讨论了如何执行推理。提出了一种有用的实用歧视程序,用于贝塞尔和β回归之间的模型选择。提出了蒙特卡洛模拟结果,以验证基于EM的估计器的有限样本行为和歧视程序。此外,在错误指定下评估了回归的性能,这是显示拟议模型的鲁棒性的关键点。最后,探索了三个经验插图,以面对贝塞尔和β回归的结果。
Beta regression has been extensively used by statisticians and practitioners to model bounded continuous data and there is no strong and similar competitor having its main features. A class of normalized inverse-Gaussian (N-IG) process was introduced in the literature, being explored in the Bayesian context as a powerful alternative to the Dirichlet process. Until this moment, no attention has been paid for the univariate N-IG distribution in the classical inference. In this paper, we propose the bessel regression based on the univariate N-IG distribution, which is a robust alternative to the beta model. This robustness is illustrated through simulated and real data applications. The estimation of the parameters is done through an Expectation-Maximization algorithm and the paper discusses how to perform inference. A useful and practical discrimination procedure is proposed for model selection between bessel and beta regressions. Monte Carlo simulation results are presented to verify the finite-sample behavior of the EM-based estimators and the discrimination procedure. Further, the performances of the regressions are evaluated under misspecification, which is a critical point showing the robustness of the proposed model. Finally, three empirical illustrations are explored to confront results from bessel and beta regressions.