论文标题
通过深度学习确定加密货币市场的价格形成
Ascertaining price formation in cryptocurrency markets with DeepLearning
论文作者
论文摘要
加密货币市场是世界上所有金融市场中增长最快的市场之一。与传统市场(例如股票,外汇和商品)不同,加密货币市场被认为具有更大的波动性和不足性。本文的灵感来自最新的成功学习进行股票市场预测的成功。在这项工作中,我们在高频环境中分析并介绍了加密货币市场的特征。特别是,我们采用了一种深度学习的方法来预测即将到来的壁虱的中价变化的方向。我们从$ 8 $加密货币对监视了实时刻度级数据,并应用了统计和机器学习技术来提供实时预测。我们揭示了加密货币的有希望的结果,尤其是,我们在预测比特币与美元的实时汇率上的中价运动方面达到了一致的$ 78 \%$精度。
The cryptocurrency market is amongst the fastest-growing of all the financial markets in the world. Unlike traditional markets, such as equities, foreign exchange and commodities, cryptocurrency market is considered to have larger volatility and illiquidity. This paper is inspired by the recent success of using deep learning for stock market prediction. In this work, we analyze and present the characteristics of the cryptocurrency market in a high-frequency setting. In particular, we applied a deep learning approach to predict the direction of the mid-price changes on the upcoming tick. We monitored live tick-level data from $8$ cryptocurrency pairs and applied both statistical and machine learning techniques to provide a live prediction. We reveal that promising results are possible for cryptocurrencies, and in particular, we achieve a consistent $78\%$ accuracy on the prediction of the mid-price movement on live exchange rate of Bitcoins vs US dollars.