论文标题
COVID-19的控制功效
Control Efficacy on COVID-19
论文作者
论文摘要
我们提出了一种蒙特卡洛方法来估计时间繁殖数，而没有有关所有病例症状的完整信息。省级分析表明，在采取行动后仅一周的一周，省份的繁殖数字在COVID-19上取得了巨大的成功措施，即省的繁殖数量迅速降至<1。
We proposed a Monte-Carlo method to estimate temporal reproduction number without complete information about symptom onsets of all cases. Province-level analysis demonstrated the huge success of Chinese control measures on COVID-19, that is, provinces' reproduction numbers quickly decrease to <1 by just one week after taking actions.
