论文标题

这不仅与旋律有关:欧洲如何投票赞成其最喜欢的歌曲

It is not just about the Melody: How Europe Votes for its Favorite Songs

论文作者

Svete, Anej, Hostnik, Jakob

论文摘要

欧洲电视网歌曲大赛是由欧洲广播联盟组织的流行年度国际歌曲比赛。获胜者是由每个参与国家的受众和专家陪审团决定的,这就是为什么对投票网络的分析提供了对哪些因素(表演的质量)影响投票决定的原因。 在本文中,我们介绍了投票网络分析的发现,以及基于收集到的数据的预测模型的结果。我们涉及所使用的方法论,并描述我们进行分析的数据集。结果包括投票网络的一些一般特征,裸露的国家的暴露社区比预期的要多得多,以及对导致这种现象的最大因素的一些预测。我们还包括基于以前的投票的网络结构和民族歌曲偏好的网络结构来预测投票的模型,我们发现,与仅依靠博彩表相比,我们发现没有提供太多改进的预测。

The Eurovision Song Contest is a popular annual international song competition organized by the European Broadcasting Union. The winner is decided by the audience and expert juries from each participating nation, which is why the analysis of its voting network offers a great insight into what factors, besides the quality of the performances, influence the voting decisions. In this paper, we present the findings of the analysis of the voting network, together with the results of a predictive model based on the collected data. We touch upon the methodology used and describe the dataset we carry the analysis on. The results include some general features of the voting networks, the exposed communities of countries that award significantly more points among themselves than would be expected and some predictions on what the biggest factors that lead to this phenomenon are. We also include the model to predict the votes based on network structure of both previous votes and song preferences of nations, which we found not to offer much improved predictions than relying on the betting tables alone.

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