论文标题
一种基于回归的方法,用于检测多元荟萃分析中的出版偏差
A regression-based method for detecting publication bias in multivariate meta-analysis
论文作者
论文摘要
当研究结果的发布不仅取决于研究质量,而且还取决于其性质和方向时,就会发生出版偏见。结果是,已发表的研究可能并不能真正代表所有有效的研究,并且这种偏见可能威胁到系统评价和荟萃分析的有效性 - 基于证据的医学越来越依赖于这些循证。多元荟萃分析最近因其能力降低潜在偏见和通过跨结果借贷信息来提高统计效率而受到越来越多的关注。但是,在多变量荟萃分析设置中检测和会计出版偏差更具挑战性,因为某些研究可能完全未发表,而某些研究可能有选择地报告了多个结果的一部分。在本文中,我们提出了一个分数测试,以共同测试多个结果的共同测试出版物偏差,这对多元设置来说是新颖的。提出的测试是单变量EGGER测试的自然多元扩展,并且可以同时处理上述方案,它解释了多变量结果之间的相关性,同时允许不同类型的结果,并且可以跨结果借入信息。提出的测试显示,通过模拟研究,比Egger的测试,Begg的测试以及修剪和填充方法更强大。进行了两次数据分析,以说明实践中提出的测试的性能。
Publication bias occurs when the publication of research results depends not only on the quality of the research but also on its nature and direction. The consequence is that published studies may not be truly representative of all valid studies undertaken, and this bias may threaten the validity of systematic reviews and meta-analyses - on which evidence-based medicine increasingly relies. Multivariate meta-analysis has recently received increasing attention for its ability reducing potential bias and improving statistical efficiency by borrowing information across outcomes. However, detecting and accounting for publication bias are more challenging in multivariate meta-analysis setting because some studies may be completely unpublished whereas some studies may selectively report part of multiple outcomes. In this paper, we propose a score test for jointly testing publication bias for multiple outcomes, which is novel to the multivariate setting. The proposed test is a natural multivariate extension of the univariate Egger's test, and can handle the above mentioned scenarios simultaneously, It accounts for correlations among multivariate outcomes, while allowing different types of outcomes, and can borrow information across outcomes. The proposed test is shown to be more powerful than the Egger's test, Begg's test and Trim and Fill method through simulation studies. Two data analyses are given to illustrate the performance of the proposed test in practice.