论文标题

通过基于注意力图的卷积网络进行学术绩效估算

Academic Performance Estimation with Attention-based Graph Convolutional Networks

论文作者

Hu, Qian, Rangwala, Huzefa

论文摘要

学生的学习成绩预测赋予了教育技术,包括学术轨迹和学位计划,课程推荐系统,预警和咨询系统。鉴于学生的过去数据(例如先前课程的成绩),学生表现预测的任务是预测学生在未来课程中的成绩。学术课程的结构是以前的课程为未来课程奠定基础。课程所需的知识是通过参加多个先前课程来获得的,该课程表现出以图形结构建模的复杂关系。学生表现预测的传统方法通常忽略了多个课程之间的基本关系;以及学生如何获得知识。此外,传统方法不能为决策所需的预测提供解释。在这项工作中,我们为学生的绩效预测提供了一个新型的基于注意力的图形卷积网络模型。我们对从一所大型公立大学获得的现实世界数据集进行了广泛的实验。实验结果表明,我们提出的模型在等级预测方面优于最先进的方法。提出的模型还显示出在识别失败或辍学的学生方面的准确性,因此可以及时的干预和反馈提供给学生。

Student's academic performance prediction empowers educational technologies including academic trajectory and degree planning, course recommender systems, early warning and advising systems. Given a student's past data (such as grades in prior courses), the task of student's performance prediction is to predict a student's grades in future courses. Academic programs are structured in a way that prior courses lay the foundation for future courses. The knowledge required by courses is obtained by taking multiple prior courses, which exhibits complex relationships modeled by graph structures. Traditional methods for student's performance prediction usually neglect the underlying relationships between multiple courses; and how students acquire knowledge across them. In addition, traditional methods do not provide interpretation for predictions needed for decision making. In this work, we propose a novel attention-based graph convolutional networks model for student's performance prediction. We conduct extensive experiments on a real-world dataset obtained from a large public university. The experimental results show that our proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in terms of grade prediction. The proposed model also shows strong accuracy in identifying students who are at-risk of failing or dropping out so that timely intervention and feedback can be provided to the student.

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